After last week’s major sell off in precious metals, gold and silver prices gained on the week while platinum and palladium registered small declines. As measured by the closing London Fix Price, gold gained $19.25 on the week and silver gained $2.00.
As is typical after a major pullback, silver prices were volatile. Silver’s sharp price increase this year had attracted many day traders and leveraged speculators who were forced to sell as silver prices declined, in large part due to the rapid series of margin increases by the COMEX on silver futures traders.
This week’s volatility in silver prices can be seen using the SLV as a silver proxy. After almost hitting $38 on Tuesday, the SLV plunged to $32 in early Thursday trading before recovering to the $34 level in late Friday trading.
The forced liquidation of silver positions by weaker leveraged hands has provided long term investors with a buying opportunity according to the experts at Dillon Gage Metals, a major precious metals dealer. According to Terry Hanlon, President of Dillon Gage, “This year, silver has had its biggest run in the shortest period of time in recent memory. Profit-taking corrections are to be expected when markets rally. This recent price correction doesn’t change the basic fundamentals, which include good demand for silver to make coins in a number of countries.”
Hanlon also noted that the recent strong dollar rally in early May lead to a broad based commodities sell off which extended to precious metals. The increased margin deposits required by the COMEX which increased from $4,250 a year ago to $16,200 per contract was also an obvious contributor to weakness in silver prices. Hanlon expects silver prices to remain range bound in the short term saying that “I look for investors and money managers to take a brief breather on the sidelines before getting back into the silver market on the buy side.”
No one can say exactly where silver prices will bottom out before heading higher but Dillon Gage sees “support at the $32 an ounce level”. Silver’s 200 day moving average is currently in the $28 range which should provide solid technical support.
| Precious Metals Prices | ||
| PM Fix | Since Last Recap | |
| Gold | $1,505.75 | +19.25 (+1.29%) |
| Silver | $36.20 | +2.00(+5.85%) |
| Platinum | $1,774.00 | -15.00 (-0.84%) |
| Palladium | $718.00 | -3.00 (-0.42%) |
It is interesting that amidst a broad based commodities sell off and a major price pullback in silver, gold’s relative performance has been very strong and indicative of fundamental demand. The recent news that numerous countries are increasing their stockpiles of gold bullion provides further proof that both individual investors and governments are seeking to preserve their wealth by diversifying out of paper currencies.
For investors who prefer to invest in gold mining companies, the K-Ratio, a time tested buy/sell indicator currently has very bullish readings. The K-Ratio is computed by dividing Barron’s Gold Mining Index by the current Handy and Harmon gold price and reflects the relative value of gold stocks compared to gold bullion. A reading below 1.2o tells us that gold stocks are cheap compared to gold bullion. The K-Ratio is currently at .93 indicating that gold stocks are currently a better relative bargain than gold bullion.

Commodity and precious metal prices tumbled this week, with gold and silver prices snapping a streak of four consecutive weekly increases. Following the recent run up in prices, there had been some anticipation of a correction. In addition, there were concerns that the Fed’s announcement of the end of QE2 would result in an end to the flood of cheap money which has fueled the rise of commodities.
As predicted on Monday, the Federal Reserve policy meeting and subsequent press conference by Fed Chief Ben Bernanke had the potential to cause an explosive move up in the precious metal markets. (see
As government spending spirals out of control and the Federal Reserve perpetuates a deliberate strategy of currency debasement, precious metals prices continued to soar. Gold, as measured by the London PM Fix Price, closed at $1504.00, up $27.25 on a shortened four day trading week .
Silver was again the star performer in the precious metals group, hitting a new yearly high of $42.61. For the second week in a row, silver has added over $2 per ounce as measured by London PM Fix Price. After soaring $2.59 in the previous week, silver capped another standout week with a gain of $2.39.
Anything but paper dollars was the theme this week as investors rushed into anything of tangible value. Gold, silver, oil and commodities of all types have been skyrocketing since last August when the Federal Reserve announced its second round of quantitative easing.
Gold and silver prices, as measured by the London PM Fix Price, were largely unchanged on the week. Gold slipped by $18 per ounce while silver declined modestly by $.05


Gold and silver prices declined slightly on the week, as measured by the closing London PM Fix prices. Gold finished the week at $1,411.50 for a loss of $15.50 while silver declined fractionally by 33 cents to close at $34.10. However, as markets assessed the impact of a slowing world economy, higher inflation, higher oil prices and the massive earthquake in Japan, prices for gold and silver saw significant price improvement in late Friday New York trading. Gold moved up $9.20 to $1,421.30, while the silver price rose $.60 to $35.90.